Ripple just three weeks away from dumping 1 billion XRP

Ripple is just three weeks away from unlocking another 1 billion XRP from escrow, with the next release scheduled for November 1.

Notably, Ripple unlocks up to 1 billion XRP monthly but typically returns a substantial portion to escrow, meaning not all unlocked tokens are sold on the market.

Ripple established its escrow mechanism in December 2017, locking 55 billion XRP in time-restricted contracts and scheduling monthly releases of up to 1 billion XRP starting in 2018.

Once unlocked, the tokens become available for business operations, liquidity arrangements, and potential institutional sales. 

However, Ripple typically returns a substantial portion to new escrow contracts, meaning the full 1 billion XRP does not automatically enter circulation or get sold. The market impact depends on how much is re-escrowed, retained or sold.

Ripple’s October unlock offers a recent example. The company released 1 billion XRP across four transactions and subsequently re-escrowed 700 million, leaving 300 million outside escrow. September followed the same pattern, as did each monthly release from January through August 2026, according to XRP Insights.

Across the 12 monthly releases from November 2025 through October 2026, Ripple unlocked 12 billion XRP and re-escrowed 8.4 billion, leaving 3.6 billion outside escrow. The amounts can vary: Ripple returned 530 million XRP in November 2024 and 800 million in December, leaving 470 million and 200 million, respectively, outside escrow.

The November 1 unlock could weigh on sentiment if traders anticipate additional supply. If Ripple repeats its recent pattern, around 300 million XRP would remain outside escrow, although this would not necessarily mean the tokens are sold on the market.

XRP price analysis 

By press time, XRP was trading at $1.40, down 5.61%. The decline followed a rally toward $1.52 earlier in the week before selling accelerated, pushing the cryptocurrency briefly toward $1.33 on October 9.

XRP seven-day price chart. Source: Finbold

The latest price action leaves XRP struggling to regain short-term momentum ahead of the next scheduled escrow release.

XRP’s 50-day simple moving average (SMA) stood at $1.43, above its current price of $1.40. The cryptocurrency’s 200-day SMA was at $1.28, leaving the price above its longer-term average despite the recent correction.

The 14-day relative strength index (RSI) stood at 43.45, below the neutral midpoint of 50 but above the conventional oversold threshold of 30. 

This suggests that selling pressure has weakened short-term momentum without pushing XRP into oversold territory.

Featured image via Shutterstock

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